>>1499i found the source for op's charred jaypeg, it's from here in the references:
https://07th-expansion.fandom.com/wiki/Phase_2it quotes a collection of western fanart they sent physically to ryuukishi that he replied to, you can download the pdf here and see the full thing in pages 83-88
https://kilarn.itch.io/umi-16th-artbookthe last of the replies being the one in question
anyways the general consensus was that the pandemic was what set ciconia back due to it clearly referencing that a pandemic would take place, and then it took place in real life, obviously that makes things much harder to write
ukraine and i assume palestine didn't help either but i don't think it was in this sense as impactful as 2020